Manaʻo ʻia ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana o Kina i lalo i ka hapaha lua o kēia makahiki, e like me ka China Economic and Financial Outlook Report i hoʻokuʻu ʻia e ka Research Institute of the Bank of China."Hoʻohui pū ʻia, manaʻo ʻia ka emi ʻana o ka lawe ʻana aku o Kina i kahi 4 pakeneka ma ka lua o ka hapaha.""Ua ʻōlelo ka hōʻike.
Wahi a ka hōʻike, e nāwaliwali ka ulu ʻana o Kina i ka makahiki 2023 ma muli o ka ulu mau ʻana o ka ʻāina politika a me ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka honua, ka lohi o ka noi ma waho, nāwaliwali ke kākoʻo kumu kūʻai a me kahi kumu kiʻekiʻe ma 2022. ʻO Ianuali a me Pepeluali mai hoʻokahi makahiki ma mua.
Mai ka hiʻohiʻona o nā hoa kālepa nui, ua piʻi ke ʻano o ka ʻokoʻa i ke kālepa haole o Kina.Mai Ianuali a Pepeluali 2023, hoʻomau ka ulu ʻana o nā mea kūʻai aku a Kina i ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, ma lalo o 21,8% i kēlā me kēia makahiki, ʻo ia ka 2,3 pakeneka ʻoi aku ka nui ma mua o Dekemaba 2022. ʻAʻole naʻe i huli maikaʻi, kēlā me kēia -12.2% a me -1.3%.ʻOi aku ka wikiwiki o ka lawe ʻana aku i ASEAN, e hoʻonui ana i ka 1.5 pakeneka o kēlā me kēia makahiki i ka 9% mai Dekemaba 2022.
Mai ka hiʻohiʻona o ka hoʻolālā huahana, ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i nā huahana o luna a me nā kaʻa, ʻoiai ke hāʻule mau nei ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i nā huahana hoʻoikaika hana.Mai Ianuali a Fepeluali 2023, ua hoʻonui ʻia nā huahana aila hoʻomaʻemaʻe a me nā huahana kila e 101.8% a me 27.5%.ʻO ka nui o ka ulu ʻana o nā kaʻa a me nā chassis a me nā ʻāpana kaʻa he 65.2% a me 4%, kēlā me kēia.Ua piʻi ka helu o nā kaʻa i waho (370,000 mau ʻāpana) i kahi moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe, ua piʻi i ka 68.2 pakeneka makahiki ma ka makahiki, e hāʻawi ana ma kahi o 60.3 pakeneka i ka ulu ʻana o ka waiwai lawe kaʻa.
Wahi a ka hōʻike, hāʻule nā ​​​​mea kūʻai aku, nā mea pāʻani, nā plastics, nā kāmaʻa a me nā huahana lole, no ka mea, ua nāwaliwali nā mea kūʻai aku i nā mea kūʻai aku, ʻaʻole i pau ka pōʻai destocking hui, a me nā ʻāina hana. ʻoiai ua lawe ʻo Vietnam, Mekiko a me India i ka ʻāpana o ka lawe ʻana aku o Kina i nā ʻāpana hana.Ua hāʻule lākou ma 17.2%, 10.1%, 9.7%, 11.6% a me 14.7%, ʻo ia ka 2.6, 0.7, 7, 13.8 a me 4.4 pakeneka kiʻekiʻe ma mua o Dekemaba 2022.
Akā ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka ulu ʻana o Kina ma mua o nā manaʻo o ka mākeke, me ka emi ʻana o ka emi ʻana o 3.1 pakeneka mai Dekemaba 2022. Wahi a ka hōʻike, ʻo nā kumu nui o ke kūlana ma luna aʻe nei:
ʻO ka mea mua, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka noi honua ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia.ʻOiai ʻo ka US ISM hana PMI i noho ma ka ʻāina contraction i Pepeluali, ua piʻi ka 0.3 pakeneka helu mai Ianuali a 47.7 pakeneka, ʻo ka hoʻomaikaʻi mua ʻana i nā mahina ʻeono.Ua hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia ka hilinaʻi o nā mea kūʻai aku ma ʻEulopa a me Iapana.Mai ka helu helu ukana, mai ka waena o Pepeluali, Baltic dry bulk index (BDI), kahakai ipu hoʻouna helu helu helu (TDOI) hoʻomaka i lalo.ʻO ka lua, ua wikiwiki ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka hana a me ka hana ʻana ma Kina, ua hoʻomaʻemaʻe ʻia nā wahi paʻa i ke kaulahao ʻoihana a me nā kaulahao hoʻolako, a ua hoʻokuʻu piha ʻia ka backlog o nā kauoha i ka wā kiʻekiʻe o ka maʻi ahulau, e hāʻawi ana i kahi hoʻoikaika i ka lawe ʻana aku. ulu ana.ʻO ke kolu, ua lilo nā ʻano hou o ke kālepa haole i mea hoʻoikaika nui no ka ulu ʻana i waho.ʻOi aku ka kiʻekiʻe o ka papa inoa e-commerce cross-border i ka hapaha mua o 2023 ma mua o ka manawa like o 2022, a ʻo ka nui o ka ʻoihana o Zhejiang, Shandong, Shenzhen a me nā wahi alakaʻi ʻē aʻe i ka hoʻomohala ʻana i nā ʻano kālepa haole hou i loaʻa i kahi kiʻekiʻe ka ulu ʻana o kēlā me kēia makahiki.Ma waena o lākou, ua hoʻonui ʻia ka nui o ka e-commerce cross-border ma Zhejiang mai Ianuali a Pepeluali e 73.2% i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
Manaʻo ka hōʻike e manaʻo ʻia ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana o Kina i lalo i ka lua o ka hapaha, pono ke nānā ʻia nā manawa kūpono.Mai ka mea huki i lalo, ʻaʻole maopopo ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i nā koi waho.Ke hoʻomau nei ka piʻi ʻana o ke ao holoʻokoʻa a aia kahi kiʻekiʻe o nā ʻoihana holomua ma ʻEulopa a me ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa e hoʻonui i ka uku paneʻe i nā "pae pēpē" i ka hapa mua o 2023, e hoʻemi ana i ka noi honua.ʻAʻole i hoʻopau ʻia ka pōʻai destocking o nā ʻāina nui i kūkulu ʻia, a ʻo ka helu kūʻai kūʻai aku o ka hapa nui o nā mea kūʻai aku ma ʻAmelika aia nō ma kahi kiʻekiʻe ma mua o 1.5, ʻaʻole e hōʻike ana i ka holomua koʻikoʻi i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me ka hopena o 2022. ʻO ka manawa o 2022, ua kiʻekiʻe ka waihona kālepa haole o Kina, me ka piʻi ʻana o ka makahiki ma ka makahiki he 16.3% i Mei a me 17.1% i Iune.ʻO ka hopena, ua piʻi ka hoʻokuʻu aku i ka 12.4 pākēneka i ka lua o ka hapaha.